Probability · Module 3
PART I
Probability
The mathematics of "how confident should I be in a guess?"
Applied frame
Translate the claim into events, probabilities, distributions, and simulation checks before trusting a single answer.
Diagram cue
The diagram separates event space, probability mass, evidence, and update steps.
Probability is the grammar for uncertainty. Key motion beats: outcomes, likelihood, uncertainty, decision.
PART I check
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